Gold price climbed during the North American session on Thursday after solid data from the United States (US) underpinned the Greenback. Despite that, the precious metal brushed aside the strength of the US Dollar and the rise in US yields. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD trades at $2,419, up over 1.40%.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released a solid jobs report, as the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits dipped below estimates and last week’s data, a tailwind for the Greenback.
Further data showed that Continuing Claims rose to their highest level since November 2021.
The buck reacted positively, as shown by the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the American currency against six other currencies. It rose by 0.10% to 103.28, while the 10-year benchmark note yield pierced the 4.0% threshold.
Bullion is set to attract investors’ interest amid heightened geopolitical risks due to the latest developments in the Middle East. Although the market mood remains positive, fears lurk that retaliation from Iran and Lebanon against Israel are forthcoming.
Daily digest market movers: Gold price on the defensive amid risk-on mood
Worries of a US recession had faded after US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending August 3 dipped from 250K to 233K, below forecasts of 240K. Continuing Claims through July 27 increased from 1,869K to 1,875K, exceeding the forecast of 1,870K.
The golden metal price gathered traction despite reports that China’s central bank restrained itself from purchasing Gold for the third consecutive month.
The CME FedWatch Tool shows that the odds for a 50-basis-point (bps) cut at the September meeting were lowered from 63.5% on Wednesday to 57.5%.
The Fed decided to hold rates unchanged last week but indicated that favorable data on inflation and further weakening in the labor market could prompt action.
Technical analysis: Gold price counterattacks and rises toward $2,450
The XAU/USD rallies sharply, breaking new weekly highs of $2,424, with buyers eyeing the psychological $2,450 level mark. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows buyers are gathering momentum, meaning higher prices are on the cards.
If buyers push prices above $2,450, the next stop would be the August 2 high at $2,477, ahead of testing the all-time high at $2,483. On further strength, the $2,500 figure is up for grabs.
On the other hand, if XAU/USD drops below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,368, this would exacerbate a drop to the 100-day SMA at $2,346, followed by a support trendline around $2,316. Once cleared, the next support would be $2,300.
Source: FXstreet
